How much money am I really wasting if I rent for a year?
Hi sweet friend,
Today I want to finally put this thought to paper, because I have so many clients who are debating the "should I wait to rent?" situation. I understand everyone's situation is different, but if you are debating this question, then that means you have the option to buy and the option to rent. So I want to give you my opinion on this. So maybe you are asking yourself "how much will it really cost me if I choose to rent for a year?" Or maybe you are thinking "I am going to wait until the market cools down." And I have thoughts on both.
Is the market in the Houston TX / Houston Texas area going to cool down?
Sadly, I do not see the market in Houston TX cooling down. Ever since Hurricane Harvey back in 2017, there has been a huge inventory shortage. Tropical Storm Imelda in 2019 didn't help the situation any. And neither did the February Freeze in 2021. What has made the greatest impact on the housing shortage is he influx of residents from certain states and metropolises fleeing to Texas, including Washington, Oregon, and California.
Texas is the land of opportunities, and in my opinion, has something to offer to everyone. I personally love the metropolis hub you find in Houston TX, but Dallas doesn't trail too far behind in great places to call home. Both have amazing communities and suburbs. I obviously adore the Houston area in which I live, but in this video I compare a handful of cities in Texas.
Due to the insane amounts of people moving here, coupled with the low interest rates, while dumping on the fact that millennials are ready to buy, the supply shortage isn't going anywhere. I really and truly believe this to be a fact.
Here are some other facts...
• The Houston area houses the fastest growing city in the United States, Conroe TX.
• According to Stacker.com, Texas is the #1 state Californian residents are moving to.
- Moved from California to Texas in 2019: 82,235
--- 12.6% of residents that moved
- Moved from Texas to California in 2019: 37,063
--- #1 most common destination from Texas
• Corporate relocations to Texas are on the rise (taxes and rent are lower). Including HPE, Amazon (their second headquarters), Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corp., Greentown Labs, Maddox Defense, Samsung, Tesla, NRG Energy, Wayfair, Katapult, Avetta, Google, Oracle, and McKesson.
• For the 8th consecutive time since 1996, Texas was named the number one state for business in America.
• More than 750,000 Californians have moved to Texas since 2010. About 15% of new Texas residents have come from California.
• Texas has risen above California as the nation't top exporter of technology.
How much money am I really wasting if I rent for a year?
So if you have been considering whether or not you want to rent for a year, maybe you are wondering how much that will "cost" you. Well let's do some math.. If you are looking to rent a home for $3000 a month, that would be $36,000 in one year's rent.
In that same 12 months, the home that was listed at $400,000 12 months ago, will now cost you about $450,000. Which is about $50,000 in missed equity and $50,000 in increased cost. (Some estimates suggest a higher price increase year over year, and if you compare 2019 to 2020 to 2021, you can foreshadow $50k - $100k.)
Now let's guess what interest rates are going to increase in the next 12 months. Do you think they will go back to pre-covid numbers? Could we be looking 4.5% interest rate instead of 2.75% interest rate? I am estimating that would be about $75,000 over a 30 year time span. Now you might not be planning on keeping your "next home" for 30 years, but I think it is safe to estimate that by renting for one year, you are wasting somewhere between the rounded numbers of $85,000 and $175,000.
More to chew on...
The median home sale price nationwide is on track to hit a new record high before the year is over, rising 14 percent year over year to $359,750 in the four weeks ending Dec. 12. That’s just shy of its all-time high of $359,950 in July and 29 percent higher than the same period in 2019. -Inman.com
Meanwhile, for-sale home inventory fell to an all-time low with active listings down 25 percent from 2020 and 43 percent from 2019. -Inman.com
As pending home sales rose 4 percent year over year, but were up a whopping 50 percent compared to the same period in 2019. -Inman.com
I hope this information has been useful in helping you make your decision between buy vs. rent.
Call or text me at 832-493-6685 to get started! First off, thank you for trusting us. It is so important to me (Jordan), to not just be your REALTOR®, but your resource. It is truly a goal of mine, heck, a priority of mine, to help you plan your roots in the right soil. I don't want you to have any regrets on where you buy a home, so it is my mission to be there for you.
Most people struggle with the home buying experience. We are a brokerage that does more, by being with you every step of the way, so that you plan your roots in the right soil.
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