Champion Forest Market Update | May 23, 2022
Today I will be sharing with you our perspective on the local real estate market here in Houston, Texas, specifically a market update for the neighborhood of Champion Forest. Whether you are looking to buy, sell, or just keep an eye on the market, we look forward to being your resource.
What is happening in the real estate market in Champion Forest?
We currently have 15 homes pending, with 5 homes sold in the last two weeks, averaging a sale price of $143 a square foot. Five homes sold over asking price, with one home selling 7% above the listing price. We are seeing very similar data to last week, with one exception. As predicted, you can see the pending homes have doubled, which means the inventory is growing. We aren't going to see that in the active category because they go off the market so quickly. The rising interest rates are definitely something to keep an eye on as well. Some people in this neighborhoods price range are just simply being priced out of homes due to interest rates. The rise in inventory combined with the interest rates could put us back into a buyers market. We don't see anything that drastic happening, but it's possible.
Check out the graphic below for a larger overview of the real estate market for the last two weeks in Champion Forest.
What is happening in the real estate market nationally?
Mortgage rates fluctuated throughout the week but were trending slightly lower by the end of the week. Retail sales climbed in April, while mortgage application submissions fell. Homebuilder sentiment decreased in May as did housing starts and building permits the month before. Continuing jobless claims dropped while initial jobless claims increased. Existing home sales fell, but existing home inventory looked healthier in April.
|MORTGAGE RATES CURRENTLY TRENDING||THIS WEEK'S POTENTIAL VOLATILITY|
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- Retail sales saw a slight increase in April, climbing 0.9% month-over-month and 8.19% year-over-year.
- Mortgage application submissions fell 11% overall during the week ending 5/23. The Purchase Index decreased 12% while the Refinance Index decreased 10%.
- The NAHB housing market sentiment index fell 8 points in May, down to a level of 69. Current sales conditions fell 8 points to 78, sales expectations for the next six months dropped 10 points to 63. Buyer traffic fell nine points to 52.
- Building permits in April were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.82 million, 3.2% below the rate in March and 3.1% above the April 2021 level. Housing starts were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.72 million, a 0.2% drop from the March level.
- Continuing jobless claims decreased to a level of 1.32 million during the week ending 5/7. Initial jobless claims increased to a level of 218,000 during the week ending 5/14.
- Existing home sales fell 2.4% month-over-month in April, down to a seasonally adjusted annual level of 5.61 million. With slower demand existing home inventory was able to further recover – climbing to a level of 1.03 million, or a 2.2-month-supply. This is 10.4% higher than the existing home inventory in March.
Review of Last Week
STILL CAN'T BEAR IT... Investors briefly sent the S&P 500 into bear market territory, 20% below its last high, but stocks rebounded above that trough, though the Dow is down eight straight weeks for the first time since 1932.
Wall Street traders hate inflation but fear the Fed may raise rates too aggressively to fight it and send us into recession. A slowing economy showed with high-profile retailers reporting lower profits thanks to higher costs for freight and fuel.
In fact, the Leading Economic Index (LEI) fell and initial jobless claims rose, yet Industrial Production and factory capacity grew. Retail Sales were up 8.2% from a year ago, though flat when you account for inflation.
The week ended with the Dow down 2.9%, to 31,262; the S&P 500 down 3.0%, to 3,901; and the Nasdaq down 3.8%, to 11,355
Bonds overall ended ahead for the week, the 30-year UMBS 4.5% UP 0.13, to $101.19. Higher bond prices signal lower rates, and Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey reported the national average 30-year fixed mortgage rate down slightly. Remember, mortgage rates can be extremely volatile, so check with your mortgage professional for up-to-the-minute information.
DID YOU KNOW… A new Zillow study found that homes in the suburbs have recently been appreciating faster than urban homes, the typical suburban home gaining $66,490 in value versus $61,671 for the typical home in the city.
ALL UP: CONSTRUCTION SPENDING, MANUFACTURING, SERVICES, JOBS, THE FED RATE… It'll be nice to see Construction Spending growing, along with the manufacturing and services sectors of the economy, according to the ISM Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing Indexes. We should see more Nonfarm Payrolls added in April, though Hourly Earnings will still lag well behind inflation. To rein that in, the FOMC Rate Decision is expected to be a half percent rate hike, for the first time since 2000.
Existing Home Sales declined in April for the third month in a row, off 2.4%, at a 5.610 million annual rate. But demand remains strong, as 88% of the existing homes sold were on the market for less than a month.
Housing Starts dipped slightly in April, off just 0.2%, to a 1.724 million annual rate, yet starts are still 14.6% ahead of a year ago. Permits were down 3.2% in April, but the backlog of authorized projects is the highest since 1999.
Can we sell yours?
So if you are in need of a listing agent, we would love the opportunity to see your home and meet you of course. My husband, Edward, and I, look forward to being the brokerage and team for you! You can reach out to us via email: [email protected] & [email protected] or telephone: 832-493-6685.
If you are curious 'How to get more money for your home when listing it for sale', check out this blog post.
I hope you have found this blog post super helpful. If there is anything else we can do for you, including helping you sell (or buy) a home, I would be honored to assist. I hope you have a great day/evening. Cheers, E + J.
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